Publications


  • Thompson RN, Hollingsworth TD, Isham V, Arribas-Bel D, Ashby B, Britton T, Challenor P, Chappell LHK, Clapham H, Cunniffe NJ, Dawid AP, Donnelly CA, Eggo RM, Funk S, Gilbert N, Gog JR, Glendinning P, Hart WS, Heesterbeek H, House T, Keeling M, et al. Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies (2020) Proc. Roy. Soc. B, 287:20201405. (Available here)
  • Thompson, RN. Epidemiological models are important tools for guiding COVID-19 interventions (2020) BMC Med., 18:152 (Available here)
  • Hart WS, Maini PK, Yates CA, Thompson RN. A theoretical framework for transitioning from patient-level to population-scale epidemiological dynamics: influenza A as a case study (2020) J. Roy. Soc. Interface, 17:20200230 (Available here)
  • Daon Y, Thompson RN, Obolski U. Estimating COVID-19 outbreak risk through air travel (2020) J. Trav. Med., 1:taaa093 (Available here)
  • Abbott S, Hellewell J, Thompson RN, Sherratt K, Gibbs HP, Bosse NI, Munday JD, Meakin S, Doughty EL, Chun JY, Chan Y-WD, Finger F, Campbell P, Endo A, Pearson CAB, Gimma A, Russell T, CMMID COVID modelling group, Flasche S, Kucharski AJ, Eggo RM, Funk S. Estimating the time-varying reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 using national and subnational case counts (2020) Wellcome Open Research (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Lovell-Read FL, Obolski U. Time from symptom onset to hospitalisation of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases: Implications for the proportion of transmissions from infectors with few symptoms (2020) J. Clin. Med., 9:1297 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Cunniffe NJ. The probability of detection of SARS-CoV-2 in saliva (2020) Stat. Meth. Med. Res., 29:1049-1050 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN. Pandemic potential of 2019-nCoV (2020) Lancet Inf. Dis., 3099:30068 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN. Novel coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan, China, 2020: Intense surveillance Is vital for preventing sustained transmission in new locations (2020) J. Clin. Med., 9:498 (Available here)
  • Jung S-M, Kinoshita R, Thompson RN, Linton NM, Yang Y, Akhmetzhanov AR, Nishiura H. Epidemiological identification of a novel pathogen in real time: Analysis of the atypical pneumonia outbreak in Wuhan, China, 2019-2020 (2020) J. Clin. Med., 9:637 (Available here)
  • Greischar MA, Alexander HK, Bashey F, Bento AI, Bhattacharya A, Bushman M, Childs LM, Daversa DR, Day T, Faust CL, Gallagher ME, Gandon S, Glidden CK, Halliday FW, Hanley KA, Kamiya T, Read AF, Schwabl P, Sweeny AR, Tate AT, Thompson RN, Wale N, Wearing H Evolutionary consequences of feedbacks between within-host competition and disease control (2020) Evol. Med. Public Health, 1: 30-34 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Jalava K, Obolski U. Sustained transmission of Ebola in new locations: more likely than previously thought (2019) Lancet Inf. Dis., 19:1058-1059 (Available here)
  • Hart WS, Hochfilzer LFR, Cunniffe NJ, Lee H, Nishiura H, Thompson RN. Accurate forecasts of the effectiveness of interventions against Ebola may require models that account for variations in symptoms during infection (2019) Epidemics, 29:100371 (Available here)
  • Cullerne J, French A, Poon D, Baxter A, Thompson RN. The pedagogical power of context: extending the epidemiology of Eyam (2019) Phys Educ, 55:015021 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Stockwin JE, van Gaalen RD, Polonsky JA, Kamvar ZN, Demarsh PA, Dahlqwist E, Li S, Miguel E, Jombart T, Lessler J, Cauchemez S, Cori A. Improved inference of time-varying reproduction numbers during infectious disease outbreaks (2019) Epidemics, 29:100356 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Thompson CP, Pelerman O, Gupta S, Obolski U. Increased frequency of travel in the presence of cross-immunity may act to decrease the chance of a global pandemic (2019) Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. B, 374:20180274 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Brooks-Pollock E. Detection, forecasting and control of infectious disease epidemics: modelling outbreaks in humans, animals and plants (2019) Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. B, 374:20190038 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Wymant C, Spriggs RA, Raghwani J, Fraser C, Lythgoe KA. Link between the numbers of particles and variants founding new HIV-1 infections depends on the timing of transmission (2019) Virus Evol., 5:vey038 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Morgan OW, Jalava K. Rigorous surveillance is necessary for high confidence in end-of-outbreak declarations for Ebola and other infectious diseases (2019) Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. B (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Brooks-Pollock E. Preface to theme issue ‘Modelling infectious disease outbreaks in humans, animals and plants: epidemic forecasting and control’ (2019) Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. B (Available here)
  • Obolski U, Gori A, Lourenço J, Thompson C, Thompson RN, French N, Heyderman R, Gupta S. Identifying genes associated with invasive disease in S. pneumoniae by applying a machine learning approach to whole genome sequence typing data (2019) Sci. Rep. (Available here)
  • Abdullah N, Kelly JT, Graham SC, Birch J, Gonçalves-Carneiro D, Mitchell T, Thompson RN, Lythgoe KA, Logan N, Hosie MJ, Bavro VN, Willett BJ, Heaton MP, Bailey D. Structure-guided identification of a nonhuman morbillivirus with zoonotic potential (2018) J. Virol., 92:e01248 (Available here)
  • Somveille M, Firth JA, Aplin LM, Farine DR, Sheldon BC, Thompson RN. Movement and conformity interact to establish local behavioural traditions in animal populations (2018) PLoS Comp. Biol., 14:e1006647 (Available here)
  • Suffert F, Thompson RN. Some reasons why the latent period should not always be considered constant over the course of a plant disease epidemic (2018) Plant Pathol., 67:1831-1840 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Hart WS. Effect of confusing symptoms and infectiousness on forecasting and control of Ebola outbreaks (2018) Clin. Inf. Dis., 67:1472-1474 (Available here)
  • Obolski U, Lourenço J, Thompson C, Thompson RN, Gori A, Gupta S. Vaccination can drive an increase in frequencies of antibiotic resistance among non-vaccine serotypes of Streptococcus pneumoniae (2018) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 201718712 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Gilligan CA, Cunniffe NJ. Control fast or control smart: when should invading pathogens be controlled? (2018) PLoS Comp. Biol., 14:e1006014 (Available here)
  • Raghwani J, Thompson RN, Koelle K. Selection on non-antigenic gene segments of seasonal influenza A virus and its impact on adaptive evolution (2017) Virus Evol., 3:vex034 (Available here)
  • Kraemer MUG, Faria NR, Reiner Jr. RC, Golding N, Nikolay B, Stasse S, Johansson MA, Salje H, Faye O, Wint GRW, Niedrig M, Shearer FM, Hill SC, Thompson RN, Bisanzio D, Taveira N, Nax HH, Pradelski BSR, Nsoesie EO, Murphy NR, Bogoch II, Khan K, Brownstein Spread of yellow fever virus outbreak in Angola and the Democratic Republic of the Congo 2015–16: a modelling study (2017) Lancet Inf. Dis., 17:330-338 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Gilligan CA, Cunniffe NJ. Detecting presymptomatic infection is necessary to forecast major epidemics in the earliest stages of infectious disease outbreaks (2016) PLoS Comp. Biol., 12:e1004836 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Cobb RC, Gilligan CA, Cunniffe NJ. Management of invading pathogens should be informed by epidemiology rather than administrative boundaries (2016) Ecol. Model., 324:28-32 (Available here)
  • Thompson RN, Yates CA, Baker RE. Modelling cell migration and adhesion during development (2012) Bull. Math. Biol., 74:2793-2809 (Available here)
  • Tappin SJ, Howard TA, Hampson MM, Thompson RN, Burns CE. On the autonomous detection of coronal mass ejections in heliospheric imager data (2012) J. Geophys. Res., 117:A05103 (Available here)